Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 6.2 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 96th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
Mike Conley figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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