Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 1:55 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.1 assists per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Mike Conley will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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