Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.2 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 94th percentile.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Mike Conley figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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