Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has compiled 6.5 assists per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team has come down with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Mike Conley will likely experience a decrease in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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