Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 6.4 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).
Mike Conley will likely experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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