Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 8.0 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's totaled overall this season at home.
Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games away from his home court, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 18 games in their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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