Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing on the road, 5.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has averaged a mere 5.8 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.6 assists per game last season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has secured 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).

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