Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 6.7 assists per game while on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.7 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 9th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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