Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 6.5 assists per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should boost possessions for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley figures to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has accumulated 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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