Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.5 assists per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.3 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has committed 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's committed in all games this season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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