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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Assists
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has totaled an impressive 6.6 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.3 assists per game last year.

Mike Conley has played 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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