Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged a terrific 7.5 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 5.3 assists per game last year.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
Mike Conley will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games on the road (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.

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