Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 7.9 assists per game away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season away from home.
Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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