Mikal Bridges Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Mikal Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mikal Bridges will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Mikal Bridges has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA at home this year.
The Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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