Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Mikal Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has successfully made 51.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Mikal Bridges has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a difficult matchup.
The Nets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Nets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

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