Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has scored 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 more than he's scored overall this season.
Mikal Bridges has converted 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year away from home.
Mikal Bridges has averaged 35.5 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Pistons is a favorable one; they have given up the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (17.9).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mikal Bridges will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.