Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Mikal Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:46 PM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.7).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season (15th-least in the league).

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