Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-161/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Michael Porter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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