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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 5.2 defensive boards per game at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 29.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season, the other team has come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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