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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has put up 7.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.4 higher than he's put up over the course of the year at home.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boosts stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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