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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has posted 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.9 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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