Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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