Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has posted 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 3.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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