Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 6.9 rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 29.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

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