Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 7.4 rebounds per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
When playing away from home, the Heat have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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