Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has put up 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 3.4 more than he's put up in all games this season on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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