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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 6.4 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a difficult matchup.
  • The 7th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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