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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.6 buckets per game while at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

The Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a difficult matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the league).

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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