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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 87th percentile for shots hit, totaling an enormous 6.6 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.3 threes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in the NBA away from their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production for all stats.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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