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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 88th percentile for shots from the field drained, putting up a colossal 6.7 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point shots hit while playing on the road, compiling 2.3 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The 5th-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
  • Michael Porter Jr. figures to experience a decrease in production for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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