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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 88th percentile for shots converted, totaling a massive 6.8 per game this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.3 3-pointers per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
  • In contrast to last season's 1.5 rate, Michael Porter Jr.'s number of foul shot attempts has risen this season to 2.5 foul shot attempts per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
  • The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-point attempts.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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