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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for three-point shots sunk, registering 2.5 per game this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 88.5% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 11.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 43.3% on shots from the field (5th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, designating this as a difficult matchup.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup with Norman Powell when it comes to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting SFs attempting just 1.8 free throws per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

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