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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 60.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Nuggets's outstanding 122.9 points per game while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 9.7 field goal attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a tough matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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