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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a favorable matchup.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
  • In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

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