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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 5.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.6 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Warriors, creating a good matchup.
  • The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
  • The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
  • Michael Porter Jr. should experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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