Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 92nd percentile for 3-pointers made, registering 2.5 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) against the Jazz, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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