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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 88th percentile for shots from the field converted, registering a monstrous 6.9 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year without the home court advantage.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a favorable matchup.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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