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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.9 baskets per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from three overall this season while on the road.
  • The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%).
  • The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
  • Michael Porter Jr. ought to see a decline in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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