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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made 7.0 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 93rd percentile for three-pointers converted, registering 2.6 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's exceptional 126.4 points per game as the home team rates highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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