Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).
Michael Porter Jr. will likely see a decline in efficiency for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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