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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 17.2 shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 32.9 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Suns are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.1%).
  • The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Suns have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the league).

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