Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 8.6 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from three overall this year at home.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.8 minutes per game while at home this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.4).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

More Michael Porter Jr. Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow