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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.2 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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