Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 22, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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