Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for 3-pointers converted, putting up 2.6 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

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