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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point shots converted when playing on the road, totaling 2.2 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 86.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 22.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (11.3).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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