Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.8 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for three-pointers converted while playing on the road, registering 2.3 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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