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Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.9 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 89th percentile for three-point shots made away from home, tallying 2.3 per game this year.Michael Porter Jr. has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA as the road team with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets.This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.Michael Porter Jr. will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.
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