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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 7.4 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 5.3 shots from downtown per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a good matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance across the board.

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