Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for shots from the field drained, totaling an enormous 7.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 80th percentile for 3-point shots scored away from home, registering 2.0 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for threes; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line.
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production across the board.

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